Friday, August 31, 2012

USD/CHF Wave Analysis for August 30,2012

USD/CHF Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the USD/CHF pair was trading in a downward move like we expected, developing impulsive (3) wave of the bigger (5) wave (coloured purple). Yesterday during the European and New York sessions we could observe a descending movement from 0.9635 towards the 0.9547 level and we can consider this move as confirmation of our count. At the moment this major pair is trading around 0.9565 level and we are expecting to see the price around 0.9455 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (0.9660-0.9538-0.9634), with Take Profit at 0.9457 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use resistance point at 0.9595 level as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Unemployment Claims, Core PCE Price Index m/m and Personal Spending m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9533 (S2) 0.9549 (S1) 0.9559 (PP) 0.9576 (R1) 0.9592 (R2) 0.9602 (R3) 0.9619

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9550 with Stop Loss 0.9595 and Take Profit 0.9457 are recommended.

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